Predictions for 2008

Every year some of my GSD friends ask me to look into my crystal ball and predict the main winners of the upcoming Sieger Show. It might be fun to pretend that I’m clairvoyant, but my prognostications really are based on more mundane things: my background as an SV judge; I know the judges who are officiating; I go to the Sieger Show every year and visit top kennels most years; and I know the SV system. While there may be some surprises, such as dogs being sold to China and not being available for the show, I usually predict with about 85% or greater accuracy who will be in the VA males classification, and many who will be high-V.

While Quenn Löher Weg probably has many more winning offspring and will likely have the most impressive progeny class, it will be very difficult to beat last year’s Sieger Pakros. For one thing, Pakros has a Sieger as his sire and Quenn does not. For another, a German is one of Pakros’ owners, while Quenn is owned by a Brit. Now, Pakros is six years old and traditionally dogs of that age are retired, so it’s possible that Pakros and last year’s VA3 Dux (same age) may stay home this year. That would indicate that the battle would likely be between Quenn and the Pakros son Vegas du Haut Mansard. Vegas has also been used a lot for breeding, and will have a big progeny class. He has the advantage of having a Sieger for a sire and of being partly owned by Pakros’ German handler. Believe me, these nuances really do play a part in this “German national show”. His drawbacks include “near-normal” hips and a very wide action in front (seen coming toward you), which he passes on to most of his offspring.

I think Orbit Huhnegrab will retire or sit this one out, and the fight for VA3 will be between Nando Gollerweiher and Ingodds Agazzi; I predict the latter will pass Nando. For VA5, the very handsome Yak son Odin Holtkaemper Hof might move up. Godalis Tino will almost certainly be VA this year, but probably behind Uran Wilhelmswarte, so look for them around the VA6 – 9 spots. The other ones in that neighborhood could well be the Mack Aduct son Aron Terra dei Forti and the Zamp son Negus Holtkaemper See. Budiman Salihin’s Yerom will probably be in the V1 to V3 area, right next to Quantum Fiemereck (a wonderful dog with great pedigree). I doubt the Larus son V1 Yimmy Contra will be there this year.

Dogs to watch for, many of whom should be high in the V category: I hope Reinhardt gives a better placing to the exciting Timo son Arex vom Herbramer-Wald than he’s had the last couple years. This crowd favorite has the same marvelous shoulder opening and reach as his sire and carries on the qualities of the great Quando Arminius. The Peruvian Xaro v. b. Harten (Zamp Thermodos son), Digger Elzmündungsraum, Taureg Bad-Boll, Furbo degli Achei, Bruno Val D’Anzin, Tiras Roten Feld, Panjo Kirschental, Sony Heinrichplatz, Jumbo Zenevredo, and X-Box Precision. A dark-horse (surprise) high-V winner might be Arex v Haus Neoplantum.

Bitches are a lot harder to predict, because they often make one big splash in the competition, then go to the whelping box for the rest of their fame. But you should see the Negus daughter Paula Gut Lethe near the top; she really knocked my socks off last year. Other top prospects for Siegerin are Lana Zenteiche and Chanel degli Achei, with Anika Herdersfarm and Nadia della Loggia dei Mercanti close behind. Ronja Haus Burow will be high in the standings. If she shows up, Benny d’Ulmental also should be in the top group. Watch also for Tiana Fichtenschlag as well as Viana Fichtenschlag, Anika Herdersfarm, Romina Piste Trophe, Hazel vom Winnloh, Rimini vd Zenteiche, Birdy du Domaine du Parc, Palme vd Zomerdijkslanden, Biene vom Valtenberg, Flora di Casa Nobili, and Pitty vd Freiheit Westerholt,

Things that can throw my predictions off include sales to people in foreign countries, bitches talking time off for whelping or blowing their coats for estrus, and of course a poor performance in the courage test. So many show dogs are given “passing grades” at the Friday courage test, that they are seen by the breed judge later without any indication that their character was not really what is worthy of high placings. That is why I want to see as many of these dogs doing their bitework as possible, and make up my own mind as to whether they deserve the breeding recommendations that come with a high Sieger Show placing. Friday is a long day, but unless you tough it out and see what the dogs really have in them, you can be fooled by how they do the next day.

Tell your GSD friends to join my group next year. If you, the reader of this little forecast, are going on this year’s tour, compare my predictions, stay close in case you have questions, and enjoy!

Fred

Fred Lanting, annual Sieger Show tour director.

 

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